Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.995356 2.281758 2.596184 2.967227 3.393443 3.868107 4.437384
2025-07-20 1.542678 1.925142 2.384110 2.976542 3.722702 4.633564 5.833408
2025-07-27 1.331297 1.763317 2.314261 3.070651 4.085882 5.406762 7.264559
2025-08-03 1.151063 1.599932 2.201312 3.069492 4.296991 5.979803 8.478095
2025-08-10 1.008307 1.460833 2.093416 3.047165 4.457836 6.481733 9.631539
2025-08-17 0.886725 1.332741 1.980156 2.994717 4.556927 6.891300 10.681478
2025-08-24 0.814192 1.265810 1.944523 3.046813 4.808582 7.542564 12.160329
2025-08-31 0.752128 1.206358 1.911238 3.094517 5.052301 8.199168 13.713696
2025-09-07 0.684568 1.129973 1.841885 3.074047 5.179060 8.674744 15.014061
2025-09-14 0.619139 1.049638 1.756920 3.016490 5.233762 9.030150 16.140042
2025-09-21 0.566847 0.985640 1.691904 2.984264 5.325156 9.451924 17.422479
2025-09-28 0.516739 0.920208 1.617598 2.926859 5.363325 9.779106 18.561375
2025-10-05 0.501838 0.919554 1.663185 3.102894 5.870615 11.056831 21.742849
2025-10-12 0.462646 0.871390 1.620057 3.113308 6.075802 11.809671 24.038228
2025-10-19 0.439589 0.850358 1.623819 3.211868 6.460695 12.950887 27.267627
2025-10-26 0.406933 0.807008 1.580002 3.210655 6.643975 13.709377 29.797754
2025-11-02 0.375432 0.762373 1.528583 3.187265 6.777009 14.377486 32.220277
2025-11-09 0.344106 0.714659 1.465764 3.132319 6.835087 14.891090 34.364391
2025-11-16 0.326474 0.693471 1.454976 3.186895 7.137788 15.972258 37.966538
2025-11-23 0.309927 0.672784 1.442912 3.236873 7.435386 17.076634 41.778758
2025-11-30 0.288850 0.640001 1.401348 3.215427 7.565115 17.808590 44.779586
2025-12-07 0.266700 0.602564 1.345722 3.155129 7.595298 18.307524 47.261167
2025-12-14 0.248546 0.572389 1.303385 3.121368 7.685475 18.962038 50.239661